With 15 games on the slate there is a lot of ground to cover so let’s get right to it. What separates the content of this article from what you’ll see on most other sites is we won’t be talking much about the obvious or popular value plays of the day, but rather the ones that make the most sense to play in tournaments.
DFS at the end of the season is generally a bit more difficult, as the regs simply won’t go away and the pool of extremely casual players is generally reduced. This creates an interesting dynamic in GPP, as we are not dealing with a static environment like in cash games. It becomes difficult to simply find the best value plays of the day and mash them in with abandon, since a larger % of the field will be aware of these plays, thus driving up the overall ownership of the obvious plays.
In last week’s article we covered the important of variance on choosing your players to maximize upside, an integral factor in creating a roster that maximizes ceiling potential. Beyond that, it is essential to understand the GPP marketplace and how GPP projections should differ from the ones you use for cash.
With NBA winding down, I felt it would be prudent to discuss some mathematical concepts that can be applied to NBA, but are also essential to the upcoming MLB season.